HistoryData
disaster1975

Successfully-predicted 1975 earthquake in Haicheng, Liaoning, China

February 4, 1975

The Haicheng evacuation is the only known successful mass evacuation before an earthquake, preventing an estimated 150,000 deaths.

Quick Facts

Year
1975
Category
disaster

Key Facts

Magnitude
Ms 7.5
Intensity (MMI)
IX
Date and time
February 4, 1975, 19:36 CST
Deaths prevented (est.)
Up to 150,000
Location
Haicheng, Liaoning, China

By the Numbers

7.5
Magnitude
4,197,519
Date and time
150,000
Deaths prevented (est.)

Location

Map of Haicheng, ChinaMap of Haicheng, ChinaHaicheng, China

Cause → Event → Consequence

Cause

In the days and hours before the earthquake, Chinese seismologists and officials observed a pronounced foreshock sequence and other precursory signals. Acting on these observations, local authorities ordered a large-scale evacuation of Haicheng and surrounding areas before the main shock struck.

Event

On February 4, 1975, at 19:36 CST, a magnitude Ms 7.5 earthquake with MMI intensity IX struck Haicheng, Liaoning, China. Because authorities had already evacuated much of the population, the city was largely empty when the earthquake caused widespread structural destruction.

Consequence

The evacuation is estimated to have prevented up to 150,000 deaths, though some residents died in subsequent days from fire and hypothermia. The event became the only recorded instance of a successful pre-earthquake mass evacuation, though its precursors were absent in the 1976 Tangshan earthquake, which killed over 240,000.

Timeline Context

Timeline around 197519751972197319741976197719781975 Cricket World Cup — 1975 World Cup in EnglandEurovision Song Contest 1975 — 20th edition of the Eurovision Song ContestConstitution of Greece — fundamental law of Greece, in effect since 1974Section of the Big Island of Hawaii1975 Formula One season — sports season1975 Copa América — 1975 edition of the Copa América association football competition1975–76 UEFA Cup — 5th season of Europe's secondary club football tournament organised by UEFA1975–76 European Cup — 21st season of the UEFA club football tournament1975-haicheng-earthquake-1975